Figure-4.12: Projected changes in recurrence time for extreme temperatures

Projected changes in recurrence time (in years) for annual highest temperatures that occurred, on average, once in 10, 20, and 50 years in the late-20th century across Canada, as simulated by Earth system models contributing to fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) under a low emission scenario RCP2.6 (upper) and a high emission scenario RCP8.5 (lower).


Values are computed based on Kharin et al., 2013, adapted from ECCC, 2016.