Windsor, Ontario, is uniquely located as the southernmost city in Canada with a population of nearly 220,000. The city is located within Essex County, along the Detroit River, with Lake St. Clair to the northwest. Essex County is exposed to variable lake levels, in which Windsor has the lowest percentage of forest cover of any region in Ontario. Over the past two decades, the city has experienced numerous severe rain events causing flooding, with the most significant flood event occurring in August 2017. Heavy, localized downpours particularly impacted the east side of Windsor and the Tecumseh area in 2016, only to be repeated in the same neighbourhoods in 2017, at which time the city center and south Windsor were also affected. Approximately 6,000 homes were flooded in 2017 and insured damages exceeded $124M, with the city spending $1.7M in recovery work. Indirectly, mental health impacts resulted from the stress of the floods, particularly individuals living in the hard-hit Riverside neighbourhood.
While flooding has been a key issue in Windsor, extreme heat events are also of concern in the city, with heat-related health concerns rising significantly for every degree higher than 28⁰C. In addition, increasing temperatures have led to a higher risk of diseases such as West Nile and Lyme diseases in the area. Urban trees have also been impacted by climate events with high wind storms in 2017 and 2018, both significantly damaging trees throughout the city. Moreover, insect pests, such as the ash borer and diseases such as oak wilt, are thriving in higher temperatures and a number of tree species in the municipality are already at their upper temperature limits.
A Climate Change Risk Section – Guidance Document was developed to assist staff in planning for adaptation (assessing and addressing climate change risks) and demonstrating greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation in council reports on municipal projects and initiatives. The Document provides climate projections, including baseline and future variables for temperature, precipitation and water levels/temperature.
The Climate Change Risk Section – Guidance Document attempts to reduce barriers to considering climate risk in all municipal projects. It requires staff from across the organization to account for climate change and to place it within the public record, which allows for citizen input.
With the new adaptation plan in place, climate change risk assessment is now standard practice in the municipal process so that every decision has a climate dimension.
Use of Climate Information
Data sources for the Guidance Document include climatedata.ca and research conducted by the University of Waterloo’s Interdisciplinary Centre on Climate Change. The Document also references detailed municipal maps, such as basement flooding risk maps from the city’s Sewer Master Plan. Down scaling of models was conducted for the Detroit River, with the future forecast considering risk for different climate futures, utilizing 1:5, 1:25 and 1:100 year storm scenarios. As more data becomes available, the models that the Guidance Document was based upon will be more detailed.