<\/a><\/p>\nIllustration des incertitudes croissantes le long d\u2019une cha\u00eene causale d\u2019impacts qui pr\u00e9conise des connaissances scientifiques. Le niveau d\u2019incertitude augmente au fur et \u00e0 mesure que l\u2019on se d\u00e9place le long de la cha\u00eene d\u2019impact (de gauche \u00e0 droite), ce qui m\u00e8ne \u00e0 un niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9 d\u2019incertitude dans les estimations des co\u00fbts et des avantages \u00e0 la fin de la cha\u00eene.<\/p>\n"},"caption":{"rendered":"
–<\/p>\n"},"alt_text":"Illustration des incertitudes croissantes le long d\u2019une cha\u00eene causale d\u2019impacts qui pr\u00e9conise des connaissances scientifiques. Le niveau d\u2019incertitude augmente au fur et \u00e0 mesure que l\u2019on se d\u00e9place le long de la cha\u00eene d\u2019impacts (de gauche \u00e0 droite), ce qui m\u00e8ne \u00e0 un niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9 d\u2019incertitude dans les estimations des co\u00fbts et des avantages \u00e0 la fin de la cha\u00eene. Du c\u00f4t\u00e9 gauche de la cha\u00eene causale d\u2019impacts se trouvent les sc\u00e9narios socio\u00e9conomiques et d\u2019\u00e9missions, suivis par la r\u00e9ponse du cycle du carbone \u00e0 diff\u00e9rentes concentrations de CO2, la sensibilit\u00e9 du climat \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle mondiale, la r\u00e9duction d\u2019\u00e9chelle des mod\u00e8les climatiques aux niveaux r\u00e9gional et local, et les diff\u00e9rents mod\u00e8les d\u2019\u00e9valuation des impacts biophysiques et des co\u00fbts \u00e9conomiques. Enfin, les mesures d\u2019adaptation (qui ont des r\u00e9percussions sur l\u2019efficacit\u00e9, les co\u00fbts et les avantages) repr\u00e9sentent la variable la plus incertaine.","media_type":"image","mime_type":"image\/png","media_details":{"width":1800,"height":1081,"file":"2021\/05\/Figure-6.2-FR.png","sizes":{"medium":{"file":"Figure-6.2-FR-300x180.png","width":300,"height":180,"mime_type":"image\/png","source_url":"https:\/\/changingclimate.ca\/site\/assets\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2021\/05\/Figure-6.2-FR-300x180.png"},"thumbnail":{"file":"Figure-6.2-FR-150x150.png","width":150,"height":150,"mime_type":"image\/png","source_url":"https:\/\/changingclimate.ca\/site\/assets\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2021\/05\/Figure-6.2-FR-150x150.png"},"medium_large":{"file":"Figure-6.2-FR-768x461.png","width":768,"height":461,"mime_type":"image\/png","source_url":"https:\/\/changingclimate.ca\/site\/assets\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2021\/05\/Figure-6.2-FR-768x461.png"},"1536x1536":{"file":"Figure-6.2-FR-1536x922.png","width":1536,"height":922,"mime_type":"image\/png","source_url":"https:\/\/changingclimate.ca\/site\/assets\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2021\/05\/Figure-6.2-FR-1536x922.png"},"large":{"file":"Figure-6.2-FR-1024x615.png","width":1024,"height":615,"mime_type":"image\/png","source_url":"https:\/\/changingclimate.ca\/site\/assets\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2021\/05\/Figure-6.2-FR-1024x615.png"},"full":{"file":"CB_6.2_FR_v2.png","width":1800,"height":1081,"mime_type":"image\/png","source_url":"https:\/\/changingclimate.ca\/site\/assets\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2021\/05\/CB_6.2_FR_v2.png"}},"image_meta":{"aperture":"0","credit":"","camera":"","caption":"","created_timestamp":"0","copyright":"","focal_length":"0","iso":"0","shutter_speed":"0","title":"","orientation":"0","keywords":[]}},"post":null,"source_url":"https:\/\/changingclimate.ca\/site\/assets\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2021\/05\/CB_6.2_FR_v2.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/changingclimate.ca\/national-issues\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6058"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/changingclimate.ca\/national-issues\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/changingclimate.ca\/national-issues\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/attachment"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/changingclimate.ca\/national-issues\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/31"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/changingclimate.ca\/national-issues\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6058"}]}}