Understanding Impacts
Extreme weather events (or natural hazards) such as drought, wildfire, and flooding are part of Saskatchewan’s history and have significant economic repercussions for the region. The 2001-2002 drought caused a reduction in agricultural production of more than $1.6 billion. The forest fires in Saskatchewan in 2015 cost in excess of $100 million, destroyed over 1.7 million hectares, and forced more than 10,000 people to evacuate their homes in northern communities. To understand how Saskatchewan’s climate will change in the future, climate projections were gathered from the Canadian Centre for Climate Services and the Climate Atlas of Canada, using data from 30 global climate models adjusted to produce locally specific results. The results show that over the next 80 years, global climate models project that Saskatoon can expect: warmer overall temperatures; more hot days; increased precipitation; changes in precipitation timing; increasingly variable seasons and more intense storms. A 2018 report from the Saskatchewan Research Council completed a province-wide risk analysis of natural hazards in Saskatchewan. The report plots the overall risk (consequences severity and likelihood) of a plausible worst-case scenario for each type of natural hazard under current and projected future climate conditions. The plausible worst-case scenarios come from actual experiences within the province’s last 100 years. Results from the report suggest changing climate conditions will slightly increase the risk of experiencing natural hazards throughout the province. For example, warmer temperatures will increase demand on the water and waste water utility and delivery system.