Understanding and Assessing Impacts
Over the past decades, from 1961-2010, the North warmed more than any other region in Canada and more than most regions on Earth. Recent studies show that much of the warming has occurred since the 1970s with the most recent climate change models projecting ongoing or accelerating climate changes into the future. This warming climate is modifying the ground thermal regime and changing the properties of permafrost. Permafrost in many areas is beginning to thaw and the active layer of the ground, which freezes and unfreezes every year, is deepening as ground and air temperatures warm. This results in unreliable soil conditions and failures in construction. Although there wasn’t one specific event that led to the development of the standard, there have been a series of infrastructure issues in the North that have occurred over the years. For instance, there was a school in Yukon that experienced issues with major pieces of infrastructure failing soon after it was established due to an inadequate characterization of permafrost. This established the need to be systematic when assessing permafrost risk throughout all stages of infrastructure lifecycle from planning to design and construction. Although there wasn’t any specific climate data sets or projections used in developing the standard, the World Federation of Engineering Organization (WFEO)’s Model Code of Practice: Principles of Climate Change Adaptation for Engineers as used to inform and provide guidance in considering the impacts of a changing climate on infrastructure and buildings. This guideline was derived from a guidance prepared by Engineers Canada and both documents recognize that access to appropriate information on weather, climate and climate change is key and that engineers should work collaboratively with and climate/weather specialist to identify the types of climate design data needed for the issue.